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New US tariffs hit global markets - Global markets react
- 2025年2月17日
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
No message yetU.S. President Donald Trump signed a measure on Thursday directing the U.S. trade representative and commerce secretary to propose new tariffs on various countries in an effort to rebalance trade relationships. This comprehensive process may take weeks or months to complete. Howard Lutnick, Trump's nominee to head the Commerce Department, said all studies should be completed by April 1 and Trump could take immediate action after that.
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U.S. inflation rose across the board last month, exceeding expectations, supporting the Fed's cautious stance on rate cuts.
- 2025年2月14日
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
U.S. inflation rose across the board last month, exceeding expectations, supporting the Federal Reserve's cautious approach to interest rate cuts. Data released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics on Wednesday showed that the core CPI, which excludes food and energy costs, accelerated to 0.4% month-on-month in January, the largest increase since March 2024, exceeding expectations of 0.3% and the previous value of 0.2%; the year-on-year growth rate accelerated to 3.3%, higher than the expected 3.1% and the previous value of 3.2%. The overall CPI growth rate accelerated to 0.5% month-on-month, the largest increase since June 2024, higher than the expected 0.3% and the previous value of 0.4%. The year-on-year growth rate returned to the "three-digit" level at 3%, higher than the previous value and market expectations of 2.9%.
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Gold prices surge to record high as Trump's tariff storm roils global markets
- 2025年2月12日
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
Global markets were once again on edge after U.S. President Trump announced new tariff plans. Investors flocked to safe-haven assets, pushing gold prices to a record high.
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【MACRO Comments】Complex factors behind gold price fluctuations: tariff policy and Chinese market demand
- 2025年2月11日
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
People tend to use simple narratives to explain the rise and fall of assets, but the truth is often far more complicated than it seems. MarketWatch columnist Mark Hulbert recently wrote an article analyzing the relationship between gold prices and U.S. tariff policies.
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[MACRO Sharp Comments] Trump administration's unilateralism and its damage to the international order and the gold market's response
- 2025年2月10日
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
The Trump administration has ignored the core principle of the World Trade Organization (WTO) rules - the most-favored-nation treatment, and imposed a 10% tariff on Chinese exports to the United States in accordance with the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, a domestic law of the United States. This behavior is a typical unilateralism, which seriously tramples on the international order based on international law and undermines multilateralism and international rule of law. Since World War II, multilateralism has been the basic and dominant institutional arrangement and value concept of the international community, promoting world peace, stability, development and prosperity.
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January Non-Farm Employment Report Outlook - In-depth Analysis of Market Expectations and Potential Impacts
- 2025年2月8日
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
The number of non-agricultural jobs in the United States increased significantly by 256,000 in December, far exceeding market expectations of 160,000, and the unemployment rate also dropped from 4.2% to 4.1%, reflecting the continued hot job market. Although this data usually puts pressure on gold prices, the yellow metal quickly rebounded after a brief decline, rising by more than $30. Considering that December is the peak employment season and is affected by natural disasters, non-agricultural data is expected to remain strong in the future. After the release of non-agricultural data, U.S. stocks performed poorly, U.S. Treasury yields rose, and market expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in 2025 weakened. Some analysts even believed that the interest rate hike cycle might be restarted.
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【MACRO Times】Trump’s major shift in energy policy—releasing fossil fuels and reshaping the global energy landscape
- 2025年1月21日
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
People familiar with the matter said Trump plans to take a series of actions immediately after taking office to invoke emergency powers to free up domestic energy production plans in the United States while reversing the Biden administration's actions to combat climate change. The shift is aimed at fulfilling his campaign promise to boost domestic energy production and reorient federal government policy to support oil and gas production, in contrast to the Biden administration's efforts to curb fossil fuels.
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[MACRO Sharp Comment] The key to the US dollar in 2025 is the discount! Where do opportunities and challenges coexist?
- 2025年1月18日
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
The dollar has been unexpectedly strong as President-elect Trump prepares to return to the White House. Earlier this week, the Federal Reserve's nominal trade-weighted exchange rate index for the dollar was just below 130, the highest level since March 1973. The ICE Dollar Index recently broke through 110, reaching its highest level since November 2022. The dollar index has risen 9% since Election Day and 7.7% in the quarter ended December, its best quarterly performance since the first quarter of 2015.
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US CPI report triggers market volatility: Analysis of Fed policy and economic outlook
- 2025年1月17日
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
The latest U.S. inflation report released on Wednesday showed that the headline CPI in December was largely in line with expectations, while the core CPI eased. The U.S. CPI monthly rate in December was 0.4%, the highest since March 2024, higher than market expectations and the previous value of 0.3%; the U.S. CPI annual rate in December was 2.9%, in line with expectations and higher than the previous value. There has been a slight increase of 2.7%. The monthly rate of the unadjusted core CPI in December was 0.2%, in line with market expectations and lower than the previous value of 0.3%. The annual rate of the unadjusted core CPI in December was 3.2%, the lowest since August 2024. Market expectations Unchanged at 3.3%.
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Market volatility and key turning points in Fed policy
- 2025年1月16日
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
Recent stock market turmoil has options traders increasingly concerned that the upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) report could trigger more volatility. Surging bond yields and strong jobs data put the CPI report in the spotlight. Stuart Kaiser, head of U.S. equity trading strategy at Citigroup, said he expects the S&P 500 to move 1% on Jan. 15, up or down, the largest implied volatility on a CPI data release date since the regional bank turmoil in March 2023. .